Probabilistic Assessment of Reliability and Risk Values by Certification Results
Probabilistic Assessment of Reliability and Risk Values by Certification Results

Probabilistic Assessment of Reliability and Risk Values by Certification Results

DOI: 10.37153/2618-9283-2020-3-53-68

Authors:  

Лапин Владимир Алексеевич Vladimir A. Lapin

Ph.D.in Engineering Science, Director of the Center for Scientific Research of the Construction Industry, Corresponding Member of the NIA of Kazakhstan and IEA, KazRDICA JSC, Almaty, Republic of Kazakhstan


Алдахов Еркин Серикович Yerkin S. Aldakhov
Director of Seismic Resistance and Survey Center, KazRDICA JSC, Almaty, Republic of Kazakhstan

Алдахов Серик Джумаханович Serik D. Aldakhov

Head of the Department of Analysis of the Consequences of Severe Earthquakes, KazRDICA JSC, Almaty, Republic of Kazakhstan


Али Алимжан Alimzhan B.Ali

Engineer, KazRDICA JSC, Almaty, Republic of Kazakhstan



Rubric:     Monitoring and certification of seismic constructions   
Key words: certification, risk, building, losses, reliability, repetition
Annotation:

For the first time in Almaty full passport of apartment stock of multiapartment building was carried out. The structure of the housing stock was revealed with the allocation of groups of buildings according to structural solutions and assessment of their seismic resistance. Based on the results of certification, quantitative estimates of failure probability values for different types of buildings were obtained. Formulas for estimation of quantitative value of seismic risk are obtained. The number of deaths in the estimated zem-shakes was estimated. The results of the assessments will be used for practical recommendations to reduce risk and expected losses in possible earthquakes.

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